The US and India are heading for a showdown on trade

14/02/2019 12:00 - 307 Views

The United States is trying to negotiate an end to its trade war with China, but tensions with another big economy are rising.

US Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross was due to visit India for talks on Thursday as storm clouds gather over a trading relationship worth about $125 billion a year. He canceled his trip late Wednesday.

"Due to inclement weather, technical problems that led to the cancellation of his flight, and other logistical issues, Secretary Ross regrets he is no longer able to attend ... in person," a Commerce Department spokesperson said.

"He intends to participate in most of the sessions remotely and thanks our private sector and the government of India hosts for their continued partnership as we further strengthen the ties between our two countries."

Tensions between New Delhi and Washington have increased in recent months as President Donald Trump's "Buy American, Hire American" strategy clashes with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's campaign to "Make in India."

Trump has repeatedly slammed Indian duties on US goods, particularly on products like Harley-Davidson (HOG) motorcycles, even though it's not clear Harley actually pays the tariff. Last month, Trump took aim at India's 150% tariff on imported whiskey.

"India is a very high tariff. They charge us a lot of tariffs," he said at a White House event.
The US administration may now be preparing to tighten the screws. Officials are considering removing India from a program that allows it to export goods such as jewelry, vehicle parts and electric motors worth $5.6 billion free of US tariffs, according to Reuters.

The Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) program gives 121 developing countries easier access to US consumers. India was the biggest beneficiary in 2017, according to US government data.

Washington announced last year that it would review India's eligibility for the GSP program, after complaints from US dairy farmers and medical device manufacturers that India's tariffs had hurt their exports.

$20 billion deficit

One of Trump's goals has been to cut America's trade deficit. India exported goods worth more than $50 billion to the United States last year and imported US products worth about $30 billion, according to the US Census Bureau.

Modi, on the other hand, wants to attract more foreign manufacturers into India. Anything that makes it harder to access the US market could scare them away just as Modi begins campaigning for a second term.

"The removal of trade concessions to the US could have further implications such as reducing the attractiveness of India as a manufacturing hub," said Jason Yek, country risk analyst at research firm Fitch Solutions. "This could weigh on the inflow of foreign direct investment over the coming years."

The United States Trade Representative declined to comment on India's potential removal from the GSP, and India's Ministry of Commerce did not respond to requests for comment.

"I think partly it could be construed as negotiation strategy, you raise the pitch in the run-up to the actual talks," said Rajat Kathuria, director of the Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, a think tank.

But the US administration may have a point, he added, given India is now the world's fastest growing major economy.

"We've grown out of the developing country threshold that provided us conditional access to that system," he said. "We may be able to get it one more time, or a couple more times, but I think the writing is on the wall," Kathuria said.

Source: CNN
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